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Warnings: Finding Cassandras to Stop Catastrophes

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Warnings: Finding Cassandras to Stop Catastrophes

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Overview

From President Bill Clinton's recommended reading list

Publishers Weekly Bestseller

Warnings is the story of the future of national security, threatening technologies, the U.S. economy, and possibly the fate of civilization.

In Greek mythology Cassandra foresaw calamities, but was cursed by the gods to be ignored. Modern-day Cassandras clearly predicted the disasters of Katrina, Fukushima, the Great Recession, the rise of ISIS, the spread of viruses and many more. Like the mythological Cassandra, they were ignored. There are others right now warning of impending disasters—from cyber attacks to pandemics—but how do we know which warnings are likely to be right?

Through riveting explorations in a variety of fields, the authors—both accomplished CEOs and White House National Security Council veterans—discover a method to separate the accurate Cassandras from the crazy doomsayers. They then investigate the experts who today are warning of future disasters: the threats from artificial intelligence, bio-hacking, malware attacks, and more, and whose calls are not being heeded. Clarke’s and Eddy’s penetrating insights are essential for any person, any business, or any government that doesn’t want to be a blind victim of tomorrow’s catastrophe.

Product Details

ISBN-13:	9780062488022
Publisher:	HarperCollins
Publication date:	05/23/2017
Pages:	416
Sales rank:	802,693
Product dimensions:	6.20(w) x 8.50(h) x 1.60(d)

About the Author

Richard A. Clarke, a veteran of thirty years in national security and over a decade in the White House, is now the CEO of a cyber-security consulting firm. He is the author of seven previous books, including the bestsellers Against All Enemies and Cyber War.

R.P. Eddy, is the CEO of Ergo, one of the world's leading intelligence firms. His multi-decade career in national security includes serving as Director at the White House National Security Council, as a senior US and UN diplomat, and he current advises intelligence agencies, major corporations and investors. He resides in Greenwich, Connecticut.

Missed Warnings

Chapter 1 Cassandra: From Myth to Reality 1

Chapter 2 The Spook: Invasion of Kuwait 19

Chapter 3 The Rebuilder: Hurricane Katrina 39

Chapter 4 The Arabist: The Rise of ISIS 57

Chapter 5 The Seismologist: Fukushima Nuclear Disaster 75

Chapter 8 The Accountant: Madoff's Ponzi Scheme 99

Chapter 7 The Inspector: Mine Disaster 121

Chapter 8 The Market Analyst: The 2008 Recession 143

Chapter 9 The Cassandra Coefficient 167

Current Warnings

Chapter 10 The Computer Scientist. Artificial Intelligence 199

Chapter 11 The journalist: Pandemic Disease 217

Chapter 12 The Climate Scientist: Sea-Level Rise 237

Chapter 13 The Weatherman: Nuclear Ice Age 261

Chapter 14 The Engineer: The Internet of Everything 283

Chapter 15 The Planetary Defender: Meteor Strike 301

Chapter 16 The Biologist: Gene Editing 325

Chapter 17 Can You Hear Her Now? 351

Acknowledgments 369

Notes 371

Index 391

From the B&N Reads Blog

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Editorial Reviews

Fascinating. Richard Clarke and R. P. Eddy try to construct a science that separates the true prophets from the fantasists. It’s a fascinating account, and oh, if we’d only paid attention…!” — Lawrence Wright, Pulitzer Prize-winning author of The Looming Tower and The Terror Years
“Dick Clarke and R.P. Eddy know what they are talking about-this is not a book about miracles, it is a book about how to recognize warnings in a very dangerous world.” — Leon Panetta, former Secretary of Defense
“Now, more than ever, you should read this book and learn from two of the very best. A gripping read and a brilliant view of an uncertain future. Clarke and Eddy deliver veteran insights all leaders need to hear.” — General Michael Hayden (Ret.), former CIA director
“Clarke and Eddy’s veteran insight will be required reading for those who want to win in a future dominated by technologies and national security threats most haven’t even begun to ponder.” — Senator George Mitchell
“In Warnings, Clarke and Eddy turn mythology into sociology and anecdote into analysis in a way that is both enlightening and important for averting catastrophes.” — Garry Kasparov, author of Winter Is Coming and 13th World Chess Champion
“Warnings is an important book, vividly presenting a way for leaders to make crucial decisions.” — Henry Kissinger
“A must read. In an increasingly risky world, finding people who see around corners is key—but once you’ve found them, it’s just as important to listen. We need to listen to Clarke and Eddy, their leadership and vision has been second to none for decades, and they are right again.” — William Bratton, former NYPD Commissioner

From the Publisher

A must read. In an increasingly risky world, finding people who see around corners is key—but once you’ve found them, it’s just as important to listen. We need to listen to Clarke and Eddy, their leadership and vision has been second to none for decades, and they are right again.

William Bratton

A must read. In an increasingly risky world, finding people who see around corners is key—but once you’ve found them, it’s just as important to listen. We need to listen to Clarke and Eddy, their leadership and vision has been second to none for decades, and they are right again.

Jon Murad

Now, more than ever, you should read this book and learn from two of the very best. A gripping read and a brilliant view of an uncertain future. Clarke and Eddy deliver veteran insights all leaders need to hear.

General Michael Hayden (Ret.)

In Warnings, Clarke and Eddy turn mythology into sociology and anecdote into analysis in a way that is both enlightening and important for averting catastrophes.

Garry Kasparov

Clarke and Eddy’s veteran insight will be required reading for those who want to win in a future dominated by technologies and national security threats most haven’t even begun to ponder.

Senator George Mitchell

Dick Clarke and R.P. Eddy know what they are talking about-this is not a book about miracles, it is a book about how to recognize warnings in a very dangerous world.

Leon Panetta

Warnings is an important book, vividly presenting a way for leaders to make crucial decisions.

Henry Kissinger

Fascinating. Richard Clarke and R. P. Eddy try to construct a science that separates the true prophets from the fantasists. It’s a fascinating account, and oh, if we’d only paid attention…!

Lawrence Wright

2017-05-09
Why we should heed the warnings of qualified experts and how the failure to do so in the past has led to avoidable disasters.Bestselling nonfiction author and novelist Clarke (Pinnacle Event, 2015, etc.) worked as a counterterrorism adviser for Presidents Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush, and Bill Clinton, but his warnings about the threat of an attack by al-Qaida were repeatedly ignored. Eddy, a former director of the National Security Council, is the CEO of Ergo, a global intelligence firm. As the authors demonstrate in a narrative that occasionally bogs down in numbers and excessive lists, just as the Trojans failed to heed the warnings of a Greek attack by the mythical Princess Cassandra, the warnings of modern policy advisers are often ignored. Some of the major examples of the past century include the attack on Pearl Harbor, the devastating aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, and the Fukushima nuclear disaster in Japan. In current-day usage, the label is often attached to stock analysts who specialize in predicting the direction of the markets. The authors cite Meredith Whitney, "a young analyst at a mid-tier research house," as a perfect example of a modern Cassandra in action. "Despite the bursting of the dot-com bubble between 1999 and 2001," they write, "the stock market appeared to be as strong as ever." But Whitney, shocked to discover that Citigroup, one of the world's largest banks, was paying out more to investors than it was earning in profits, downgraded its rating, "the equivalent of a call to sell the stock." In August 2008, Fortune described Whitney as "the woman who called Wall Street's meltdown." Further warnings by experts on a variety of issues—e.g., the burst of an electromagnetic pulse as a result of a nuclear explosion or a cataclysmic earthquake in the Pacific Northwest—are also being ignored. Clarke and Eddy suggest the need for a watchdog group to monitor threats and recommend appropriate responses. Of great interest to policy wonks and would-be political analysts, perhaps less so for general readers.

Kirkus Reviews

Warnings: Finding Cassandras to Stop Catastrophes

Warnings: Finding Cassandras to Stop Catastrophes

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About the Author

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